
In late February 2026, the United States and Israel launched a joint military operation against Iran called 'Ruggito del Leone' (Roar of the Lion), striking multiple Iranian cities just as diplomatic negotiations were reportedly making progress. This timeline tracks the military escalation, international diplomatic responses, economic impacts on global oil markets, and the shifting rhetoric from the Trump administration over a critical two-week period.
9 events · 8 days · 13 source articles
The Omani Foreign Minister declared that Iran was prepared to give up its enriched uranium stockpiles and that a diplomatic agreement was 'within reach.' This statement came after three rounds of talks in Geneva involving the IAEA as a technical observer, representing the first real negotiating space in years.
At 7:30 AM Italian time, the first missiles of the joint U.S.-Israeli operation struck Tehran, Isfahan, Karaj, and Qom. The military action came just one day after the promising diplomatic announcement from Oman, effectively ending the Geneva negotiation process. Articles describe this as a carefully constructed conflict rather than a spontaneous crisis.
Despite public statements by President Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth claiming operational success, CNN reported that in closed-door Capitol Hill briefings, military officials acknowledged Iranian attack drones represented 'a serious problem.' The Washington Post corroborated concerns about Iranian defensive capabilities.
The conflict triggered a rapid shock in global energy markets, with oil prices climbing above $100 per barrel for the first time since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. The spike was linked to fears about potential disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-third of the world's oil passes.
President Trump initiated a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss 'extremely important issues related to current developments in the international situation.' Kremlin adviser Yuri Ushakov reported that Putin expressed considerations aimed at the rapid political and diplomatic resolution of the Iranian conflict, noting his contacts with Gulf leaders, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, and other regional leaders.
At a press conference in Florida, Trump confirmed the conversation with Putin, stating they discussed both the Ukraine war and the Middle East situation. Trump said Putin 'wants to be helpful' regarding the Iran conflict and characterized the call as positive, though he noted the 'tremendous hatred' between Putin and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy was complicating Ukraine peace efforts.
Italian media analyzed whether the oil price surge could help Russia's struggling economy, which has been under strain from sanctions. Articles suggested that while higher oil prices temporarily benefit Russia, the broader geopolitical situation and Trump's approach might have more significant long-term impacts on the Russian economy.
President Trump told NBC News that Iran 'wants to make a deal,' but that he doesn't want to yet because the conditions 'are not good enough.' He indicated that complete abandonment of Iranian nuclear ambitions remains central to the U.S. position. Trump also increased pressure on allies to contribute to securing the Strait of Hormuz, as shipping disruptions continued to impact global energy markets. The Pope called for a ceasefire.
Commentary warned of a 'silent crack widening under the feet of the world economy' centered on the Strait of Hormuz. Analysis suggested that while Trump projects an image of imminent victory with declarations that 'the end is near,' the reality is that the true outcome of the conflict will be decided by oil prices and control of this critical shipping route, not military strikes alone.