
Following U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran beginning February 28, 2026, a rapidly escalating conflict in the Middle East triggered a global energy crisis. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz—through which one-fifth of the world's oil passes—sent crude prices soaring past $100 per barrel for the first time since 2022, creating a cascade of effects from fuel rationing in Asia to surging consumer prices worldwide.
12 events · 9 days · 30 source articles
The United States and Israel carried out coordinated attacks on Iran, triggering the start of a major regional conflict. Iran retaliated by attacking infrastructure and transport hubs across the Middle East and blocking the Strait of Hormuz, the critical waterway through which roughly 20% of global oil supply normally passes. This military action would set off a global energy crisis.
Consumers worldwide started feeling the immediate impact of the Iran war as gas, diesel, and jet fuel prices climbed sharply. The conflict's disruption to energy supplies from the Middle East prompted several LNG tankers to divert toward Asia from Europe as global competition for fuel intensified. Qatar, the world's largest LNG exporter, experienced war-related outages that further tightened supplies.
Brent crude futures soared nearly 20% in early trading, reaching as high as $111 per barrel before settling around $105-108—the highest prices since mid-2022. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also spiked dramatically. The same day, Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father as Supreme Leader, signaling hardliners remained firmly in control. European natural gas prices jumped 30% as the Middle East conflict continued to disrupt seaborne energy shipments.
Bangladesh imposed daily limits on fuel sales after panic buying raised supply concerns, restricting sales for most vehicles in the country of 170 million that imports 95% of its oil and gas needs. Across Asia, fuel prices surged and traders struggled to secure alternative supplies as the Iran war curtailed shipments from key Middle Eastern suppliers. Asian LNG buyers found themselves unable to find prompt cargoes for March delivery. In the UK, petrol prices jumped by the most in four years.
Higher jet fuel prices began threatening summer travel plans as the extended crisis in Iran drove up costs for airlines. Industry experts warned that rising airfares were inevitable, with the only questions being when, how long, and by how much prices would increase as the busy summer travel season approached.
Petroleum analysts predicted gas prices would continue rising as spring demand increased, compounding the supply disruption effects from the Middle East conflict. The dual pressure of reduced supply and seasonal demand increases created conditions for sustained high prices at the pump and in airline ticket costs.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) published a risk monitoring report warning that risks of market and systemic stress in EU financial markets remained high. The regulator noted that the Middle East conflict triggered sharp rises in energy and commodity prices, with initial market reactions confirming underlying structural vulnerabilities despite resilient performance in late 2025. Analysts noted that crude oil prices had surged more than 100% since mid-December 2025, when Brent stood at $57.56.
As markets opened, oil prices continued rising with WTI reaching $100.22 per barrel and Brent hitting $106.11, though the increases were smaller than in previous weeks. Benchmark oil prices had risen 40-50% since the initial U.S.-Israeli attacks on February 28. Major oil producers acknowledged the uncertain environment would have wide-ranging impacts on global energy markets. HSBC projected European natural gas prices would remain 40% higher than previously forecast through 2027 due to the Strait of Hormuz closure.
Average U.S. diesel prices hit $4.99 per gallon, marking a 37% increase from a month earlier and the highest level since the aftermath of Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The spike in diesel—vital for industry, transportation, and agriculture—signaled that costs would rise across the economy for everything from transporting goods to planting crops. Analysts warned that diesel prices typically rise quickly but decline slowly.
Economic analysts reported that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and oil prices above $100 per barrel were reshaping global capital flows, prompting investors to reallocate portfolios toward safer sectors including energy, infrastructure, and strategic technologies. The geopolitical tensions were causing investors to reassess their exposure to risk as the conflict's economic impacts spread globally.
UK petrol prices reached their highest level in over 18 months after a second consecutive week of sharply rising costs in response to the Middle East conflict. U.S. gasoline prices averaged $3.718 per gallon, up nearly 80 cents from a month ago, with prices moving consistently upward even as crude oil prices showed some volatility. Despite this, airlines reported a surge in demand as customers rushed to book tickets before anticipated further price increases.
The effects of rising oil prices spread to developing nations like Ethiopia, where citizens felt the economic pinch of the Mideast conflict. The global nature of the energy crisis demonstrated how disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz—a chokepoint for one-fifth of the world's petroleum—created cascading economic effects far beyond the immediate conflict zone.