
In March 2026, President Trump intensified pressure on Cuba through an oil blockade while making unprecedented public threats to take over the island nation. This timeline tracks the rapid escalation from initial deal discussions to military threats and Cuba's defiant response, marking a dramatic shift in U.S.-Cuba relations.
8 events · 7 days · 17 source articles
President Trump stated that Cuba wants to make a deal with the United States, but he wants to finish the war in Iran before turning his attention to the island nation. Speaking to reporters on Air Force One, Trump suggested negotiations were imminent, saying the U.S. would 'pretty soon make a deal or do whatever we have to do.'
Speaking from the Oval Office, President Trump dramatically escalated his rhetoric, saying he believes he will have the 'honor' of taking over Cuba. Trump refused to rule out military action and stated 'I can do anything I want with it,' marking an unprecedented public threat by a U.S. president to seize another nation. This came as the administration was enforcing a fuel blockade against the communist regime.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking during an Oval Office event, declared that Cuba 'has to get new people in charge' and criticized the island's economic and political system. The Cuban-American secretary dismissed Cuba's recent announcement allowing exiles to invest and own businesses as insufficient, demanding more dramatic free-market reforms as the U.S. continued its de facto oil blockade.
Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel responded forcefully to Trump's threats, declaring the U.S. would face 'unbreakable resistance' if it tried to take over the impoverished island nation. Diaz-Canel accused Washington of inflicting 'collective punishment' and conducting a 'ferocious economic war' to weaken Cuba's economy as pretext for intervention. This defiant response came as Cuba struggled with a nationwide electricity blackout amid the oil blockade.
Foreign policy experts cautioned that Cuba's situation differs fundamentally from Venezuela's collapse. Christopher Sabatini of Chatham House characterized Cuba as a 'disciplined revolutionary state' where the crisis represents a convergence of long-standing structural weaknesses and acute geopolitical pressure, rather than simply an infrastructure failure. The analysis suggested Cuba would be more resistant to takeover attempts than Venezuela had been.
The Trump administration explicitly stated its objective to remove Cuba's President Miguel Diaz-Canel by the end of 2026. This unprecedented declaration marked a formal announcement of regime change policy, continuing a 65-year U.S. history of attempting to overthrow Cuban leadership but with unusually explicit and public timing.
Cuban Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernandez de Cossio revealed in an NBC interview that Cuba's military is actively preparing for the 'possibility' of military aggression from the United States. While calling a U.S. attack 'unlikely,' de Cossio stated that Cuba has 'historically been ready to mobilise as a nation as a whole for military aggression' and would be 'naive' not to prepare given the escalating threats and ongoing oil blockade.
Cuban outlets rejected Trump's characterization of Cuba as a 'failed nation,' defending the Revolution's achievements in education, health, medicine, and culture despite decades of U.S. embargo. The response noted Trump's comments about Cuba having 'good land' and being a 'beautiful island,' as well as his references to wealthy Cuban-Americans in Miami who enriched themselves and desire to return after fifty years of absence.