
This timeline tracks the escalating US-Israel military campaign against Iran that began in late February 2026, focusing on the critical period from March 22-24 when the conflict reached a potential turning point. As Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz and President Trump issued ultimatums, global markets tumbled and allies hesitated to support the war, ultimately leading to signals of possible de-escalation.
14 events · 2 days · 30 source articles
The United States and Israel initiated military operations against Iran, targeting the country's missile infrastructure. President Trump initially indicated the campaign would last four to five weeks. This marked the beginning of what would become a protracted conflict with significant global implications.
Just over a week into the conflict, President Trump told CBS that he believed the war was 'very complete, pretty much,' suggesting a swift conclusion. This early optimism would prove premature as Iran mounted sustained resistance and retaliation.
As the conflict entered its third week, Trump declared 'I think we have won' while simultaneously stating 'I don't want to do a ceasefire.' He also posted on Truth Social that the US was 'getting very close to meeting our objectives,' demonstrating the mixed messaging that would characterize his approach.
Despite weeks of airstrikes that killed top Iranian political and military leaders, the Iranian government endured and launched retaliatory attacks on Israel and Gulf countries. Tehran imposed a de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, demonstrating that the conflict had escalated beyond Trump's initial expectations.
President Trump issued his latest escalatory threat: open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or the United States would 'obliterate' Iran's power plants. This ultimatum represented Trump's increasingly desperate attempts to resolve the crisis in the strategic waterway through which roughly one-fifth of the world's oil supplies pass.
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi made her first trip to Washington since taking office in October, meeting with President Trump. A White House photo showing her in an exuberant moment sparked mockery on Chinese social media. Trump avoided a direct showdown with Japan over supporting the Strait of Hormuz operation, but continued to pressure Tokyo.
President Trump announced that his planned meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, originally scheduled for March 31-April 2, would be delayed by 'five or six weeks.' The Chinese embassy stated the two sides remained in communication about the visit, which would mark Trump's first visit to China in his second term.
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte asked for Trump's 'understanding' amid frustrations with allied countries expressing hesitancy to support efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Rutte expressed full support but acknowledged nations needed time to prepare. UN Ambassador Mike Waltz claimed allies were starting to 'come around.'
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told Kyodo News that Tehran was prepared to allow Japanese-affiliated vessels to resume transit through the Strait of Hormuz following high-level consultations. This offered a rare diplomatic opening for a global oil market reeling from the regional conflict.
Asian markets experienced significant selloffs as the Iran war escalated. Meanwhile, polls showed most Japanese people opposed sending warships to the Middle East, with 67% in a Yomiuri survey and 52% in an ANN poll against deployment, despite elevated approval ratings for PM Takaichi's cabinet.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer summoned a national emergency 'Cobra' meeting to address economic fallout from the Iran war as Britain's government borrowing costs surged to their highest level since 2008. The crisis intensified after Iran threatened to strike Gulf neighbors' energy and water systems if Trump attacked Iran's electricity grid.
President Trump announced the Strait of Hormuz could be open 'very soon' and would be 'jointly controlled,' marking a dramatic shift in tone. He cited 'productive talks' with Tehran and paused strikes on Iranian energy sites, though Iran's Foreign Ministry denied the two sides were talking.
Trump's more conciliatory tone sparked a $1.7 trillion stock market rally and sent oil prices tumbling. Traders referenced the 'TACO Trump' concept—'Trump always chickens out'—suggesting markets believed Trump would soften his stance. However, doubts persisted about the strategy and whether genuine diplomatic progress had been made.
Despite market optimism, confusion remained over what exactly was happening and what comes next. Tehran residents expressed distrust over Trump's diplomacy, saying 'If we trust him, we lose.' Analysts noted Trump's erratic strategy and shifting positions raised questions about whether the US had a clear exit plan from the conflict.