
Hong Kong's 2026-27 budget marked a significant fiscal turnaround, with the city emerging from its longest stretch of deficits in two decades. Financial Secretary Paul Chan's budget announcement sparked debates about the balance between public sweeteners and long-term infrastructure investments, particularly the controversial transfer from the Exchange Fund. This timeline tracks the budget announcement and the subsequent discussions over its implications.
12 events · 5 days · 21 source articles
Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po announced Hong Kong's first consolidated surplus in four years, totaling HK$2.9 billion for 2025-26, far better than the previously expected HK$67 billion deficit. The budget included billions in technology spending and tax relief for over 2 million people, marking the end of the city's longest stretch of deficits in two decades.
Chan's two-hour address to the Legislative Council outlined HK$22 billion in sweeteners to residents and businesses, nearly triple the HK$7.8 billion offered last year. The budget pledged substantial investment in AI, intellectual property, and aerospace sectors, while raising the economic growth forecast to between 2.5-3.5 percent for the year.
Chan announced HK$30 billion to kick-start the Northern Metropolis through public-private partnerships, with HK$10 billion each going to companies overseeing the Hetao Hong Kong Park, San Tin Technopole, and Hung Shui Kiu Industrial Park. The funding aimed to accelerate the megaproject and unlock land potential for priority development industries.
The budget revealed a rare transfer of HK$127.83 billion from various funds into government coffers, including HK$75 billion from Exchange Fund investment income and HK$37 billion from the Bond Fund surplus. This marked an unusual move to take income from the city's de facto sovereign wealth fund to finance infrastructure projects, raising concerns about financial stability.
Paul Chan defended his budget on a radio forum against public complaints about insufficient support for ordinary residents. He emphasized the need to balance finances with long-term investments and announced plans to brief credit-rating agencies and the IMF on the Exchange Fund transfer in March. Callers expressed disappointment that the budget offered too little help for the general public.
Analysts attributed Hong Kong's better-than-expected financial health to a combination of strong initial public offerings and bond sales. The city's stabilized property market and robust pipeline of listings were identified as key factors in sustaining the surplus, with economists expressing optimism about the 2026-27 outlook.
Innovation and technology, intellectual property, and investment promotion departments received budget increases of at least 10 percent, while environmental branches and the public broadcaster faced sharp cuts of 70 and 28 percent respectively. The Home and Youth Affairs Bureau expanded its civil service workforce by 16 percent, the largest increase among all departments, despite an overall 2 percent reduction in recurrent spending.
International coverage highlighted that Hong Kong's budget proactively aligned with China's 15th Five-Year Plan, advancing development around two central pillars of 'AI+' and 'Finance+'. The budget was expected to reinforce the city's core competitiveness and underpin a shift toward stronger, more robust growth.
Chan sought to reassure the public that Hong Kong could manage its debt after proposing to raise the borrowing cap of two bond programmes from HK$700 billion to HK$900 billion. He responded to concerns from a university student worried about future generations having to repay bonds, expressing confidence in long-term investment returns from the Northern Metropolis.
Chan clarified that Hong Kong does not plan any additional transfers from the Exchange Fund over the next five years, according to the new medium-range forecast. He emphasized that the HK$150 billion transfer would not become normal practice, addressing concerns about the city's financial stability that emerged following the budget announcement.
Development Secretary Bernadette Linn announced that a 'relatively flexible' legal framework for the Northern Metropolis would be introduced to the Legislative Council in late March. The framework aimed to fast-track development of the megaproject spanning 30,000 hectares in the New Territories.
Financial Services Secretary Christopher Hui announced plans to submit a bill to expand tax exemptions for family offices and funds set up by international organizations like the AIIB. The bill would make more products eligible for tax exemptions, including private credit, gold, carbon credits, and certain digital assets, supporting Hong Kong's position as a wealth management hub.