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Trump's Tariff Policy Enters Phase Two: Higher Rates and Legal Uncertainty Loom as International Partners Hesitate
US Trade Policy
High

Trump's Tariff Policy Enters Phase Two: Higher Rates and Legal Uncertainty Loom as International Partners Hesitate

6 predicted events · 20 sources

within 60-90 days
within 30-60 days
about 1 hour ago
Global Economic Storm Brewing: Trump's Escalating Tariffs Set to Trigger Trade War and Market Turmoil
US Trade Policy
High

Global Economic Storm Brewing: Trump's Escalating Tariffs Set to Trigger Trade War and Market Turmoil

6 predicted events · 20 sources

within 1-2 weeks
within 2-4 weeks
about 2 hours ago
Germany's China Balancing Act: Why Deeper Economic Engagement Is Inevitable Despite Growing Risks
Germany-China Relations
High

Germany's China Balancing Act: Why Deeper Economic Engagement Is Inevitable Despite Growing Risks

6 predicted events · 16 sources

within 3 months
within 12 months
about 7 hours ago
Prediction Markets Face Regulatory Reckoning as Kalshi's Insider Trading Cases Signal Industry-Wide Crackdown
Prediction Market Regulation
High

Prediction Markets Face Regulatory Reckoning as Kalshi's Insider Trading Cases Signal Industry-Wide Crackdown

6 predicted events · 5 sources

within 3-6 months
within 1-3 months
about 8 hours ago
Trump-Xi Summit Likely to Produce Modest Trade Truce as US Leverage Weakens After Tariff Setback
US-China Trade Summit
Medium

Trump-Xi Summit Likely to Produce Modest Trade Truce as US Leverage Weakens After Tariff Setback

6 predicted events · 7 sources

within 6 weeks (late March/early April 2026)
already underway, continuing through Q2 2026
2 days ago
Mandelson Case Enters Critical Phase: Legal Proceedings and Political Fallout Loom After Epstein Probe Arrest
Mandelson Epstein Investigation
High

Mandelson Case Enters Critical Phase: Legal Proceedings and Political Fallout Loom After Epstein Probe Arrest

6 predicted events · 20 sources

within 72-96 hours
within 2-4 weeks
2 days ago

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Daily Tech News Digest — Thursday, February 26, 2026
Daily
Tech

Daily Tech News Digest — Thursday, February 26, 2026

Anthropic modified its Responsible Scaling Policy the same day reports emerged of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth pressur...

Thu, Feb 26
40 articles · 7 sources

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Timeline: How the Supreme Court Struck Down Trump's Tariffs on February 20, 2026
Timeline
World

Timeline: How the Supreme Court Struck Down Trump's Tariffs on February 20, 2026

On February 20, 2026, the US Supreme Court delivered a historic 6-3 ruling declaring President Trump's sweeping global t...

0 days
9 events · 6 major
30 articles
about 4 hours ago
Timeline: How the Supreme Court Struck Down Trump's Global Tariffs in a Historic Ruling
Timeline
World

Timeline: How the Supreme Court Struck Down Trump's Global Tariffs in a Historic Ruling

On February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court delivered a landmark 6-3 decision striking down President Trump's sweeping ...

0 days
11 events · 6 major
30 articles
2 days ago
Timeline: How US-Europe Relations Were Tested at the 2026 Munich Security Conference
Timeline
World

Timeline: How US-Europe Relations Were Tested at the 2026 Munich Security Conference

The 2026 Munich Security Conference became a crucial diplomatic moment as European leaders grappled with tensions in the...

2 days
13 events · 4 major
30 articles
4 days ago
Gaming accessory maker and publisher Nacon files for insolvency
Engadget
about 3 hours ago

Gaming accessory maker and publisher Nacon files for insolvency

French AA gaming developer and accessory manufacturer Nacon has filed for insolvency after its majority shareholder Bigben failed to make a loan repayment, the company said in a press release. "To date, the company reports available assets do not allow it to meet its liabilities," Nacon wrote. The objective with insolvency, it said, was to allow "continued operation, protect employees and maintain jobs while renegotiating with its creditors."  Nacon is behind the games Styx: Blades of Greed and was set to publish Terminator: Survivors before that title was delayed. It published Hell is Us last year to some praise, but Test Drive Unlimited Solar Crown was buggy on release and failed to find much of an audience. The company will stream its next Nacon Connect presentation on March 4, and will supposedly show off some new games and footage for previously revealed games like Endurance Motorsport Series and Cthulhu: The Cosmic Abyss.  The company also makes hardware like controllers and headsets and racing sim accessories via its Revosim brand. Those products never really caught on with mainstream gamers but did have some success with the pro gaming crowd.  With Nacon's insolvency, the future of those games and accessories is now in question. A court will decide on the company's insolvency request at a hearing in early March, but in the meantime, trading of its shares is suspended.  This article originally appeared on Engadget at https://www.engadget.com/gaming/gaming-accessory-maker-and-publisher-nacon-files-for-insolvency-104832702.html?src=rss

Baloyi: South African Treasury Investing into Economy
Bloomberg
about 6 hours ago

Baloyi: South African Treasury Investing into Economy

South Africa's latest budget is being seen as a turning point for the country's public finances. Markets responded positively with the rand stronger, bond yields falling and equities hitting record highs. Kgothatso Baloyi, Trading Structurer at RMB spoke to Joumanna Bercetche on Horizons Middle East and Africa. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Nvidia Fails to Impress Investors With Forecast | The Asia Trade 2/26/2026
Bloomberg
about 9 hours ago

Nvidia Fails to Impress Investors With Forecast | The Asia Trade 2/26/2026

"Bloomberg: The Asia Trade" brings you everything you need to know to get ahead as the trading day begins in Asia. Bloomberg TV is live from Tokyo and Sydney with Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts, getting insight and analysis from newsmakers and industry leaders on the biggest stories shaping global markets. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Hong Kong Exchange’s Quarterly Profit Rises 15% on Trading Jump
Bloomberg
about 9 hours ago

Hong Kong Exchange’s Quarterly Profit Rises 15% on Trading Jump

Hong Kong’s stock exchange posted a 15% gain in net income as a flood Chinese firms sought to sell shares and trading jumped.

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Show HN: OpenSwarm – Multi‑Agent Claude CLI Orchestrator for Linear/GitHub
Hacker News
about 11 hours ago

Show HN: OpenSwarm – Multi‑Agent Claude CLI Orchestrator for Linear/GitHub

I built OpenSwarm because I wanted an autonomous “AI dev team” that can actually plug into my real workflow instead of running toy tasks. OpenSwarm orchestrates multiple Claude Code CLI instances as agents to work on real Linear issues. It: • pulls issues from Linear and runs a Worker/Reviewer/Test/Documenter pipeline • uses LanceDB + multilingual-e5 embeddings for long‑term memory and context reuse • builds a simple code knowledge graph for impact analysis • exposes everything through a Discord bot (status, dispatch, scheduling, logs) • can auto‑iterate on existing PRs and monitor long‑running jobs Right now it’s powering my own solo dev workflow (trading infra, LLM tools, other projects). It’s still early, so there are rough edges and a lot of TODOs around safety, scaling, and better task decomposition. I’d love feedback on: • what feels missing for this to be useful to other teams • failure modes you’d be worried about in autonomous code agents • ideas for better memory/knowledge graph use in real‑world repos Repo: https://github.com/Intrect-io/OpenSwarm Happy to answer questions and hear brutal feedback. Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47160980 Points: 8 # Comments: 0

Jane Street Hit with Terra $40B Insider Trading Suit
Hacker News
about 12 hours ago

Jane Street Hit with Terra $40B Insider Trading Suit

Article URL: https://www.disruptionbanking.com/2026/02/24/jane-street-hit-with-terra-40b-insider-trading-suit/ Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47160613 Points: 10 # Comments: 0

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South Korean investors pour millions into MiniMax, other Chinese AI and chip stocks
South China Morning Post
about 16 hours ago

South Korean investors pour millions into MiniMax, other Chinese AI and chip stocks

South Korean retail investors, known for their aggressive trading style, are ramping up exposure to Chinese artificial intelligence-related stocks, even as their home market ranks among the world’s top performers. Data from SEIBro, a portal operated by the Korea Securities Depository, showed that South Korean retail investors bought US$507 million worth of Hong Kong-listed shares and US$154 million of mainland-listed shares between January 2 and Monday. The data showed that total purchases had...

Kalshi Bans MrBeast Video Editor and Political Candidate Over Insider Trading
Gizmodo
about 17 hours ago

Kalshi Bans MrBeast Video Editor and Political Candidate Over Insider Trading

This is the first known action that the prediction market has taken against users for alleged insider trading.

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Kalshi fined a MrBeast editor for insider trading
Engadget
about 18 hours ago

Kalshi fined a MrBeast editor for insider trading

Kalshi, one of several online prediction markets that have exploded in popularity in the last few years, has suspended one of YouTube MrBeast's video editors for insider trading, NPR reports. Besides being suspended from the platform for two years, Kalshi says the editor will also be required to pay a financial penalty that's five times his initial trade size. The editor, Artem Kaptur, traded in markets related to YouTube and specifically, MrBeast. Kalshi says his transactions were initially flagged because of his "near-perfect trading success on markets with low odds, which were statistically anomalous." Because trades are public on Kalshi, multiple users also flagged the trades as suspicious. Kalshi learned Kaptur was an employee of MrBeast during its investigation and determined he "likely had access to material non-public information connected to his trading." Perhaps unsurprisingly, trading with insider information violates Kalshi's rules. Kalshi says that it reported the insider trading to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and plans to donate the over $20,000 Kaptur has been fined to "a non-profit that provides consumer education on derivatives markets." In a statement provided to NPR, Beast Industries, MrBeast's production company, said it has a zero-tolerance policy for insider trading. "We have a longstanding policy in place against employees using proprietary company information in order to safeguard the highest standards and ethics throughout our organization," Beast Industries said.  Separately, Kalshi has also suspended and fined a politician who was running to be Governor of California. "In May, our Surveillance Department saw an online video by a candidate for Governor of California that appeared to show him trading on his own candidacy," Kalshi says. "We immediately froze his account and opened an investigation. The candidate was initially cooperative and acknowledged that this violated the exchange rules. As a candidate in a race, you

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Kalshi fined a MrBeast editor for insider trading on markets related to the YouTube star
TechCrunch
about 19 hours ago

Kalshi fined a MrBeast editor for insider trading on markets related to the YouTube star

Kalshi fined the MrBeast editor, Artem Kaptur, over $20,000.

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CME Restarts Gas and Metals Futures Trading After Glitch
Bloomberg
about 19 hours ago

CME Restarts Gas and Metals Futures Trading After Glitch

Trading in US natural gas futures was halted for more than half an hour on Wednesday, the second major disruption in a month in one of the most heavily traded commodity markets. Metals contracts were also affected.

Kalshi says it fined a MrBeast editor and a politician for insider trading
The Verge
about 19 hours ago

Kalshi says it fined a MrBeast editor and a politician for insider trading

Kalshi, the prediction betting market, has disclosed its first fines for insider trading, as reported earlier by The Wall Street Journal. In addition to handing down a $20,000 fine to a MrBeast editor, Kalshi also charged a California gubernatorial candidate over $2,000 after a video on X "appeared to show him trading on his own candidacy." In a notice on Wednesday, Kalshi claims MrBeast editor Artem Kaptur traded about $4,000 on YouTube streaming markets, violating its insider trading rules. "Our surveillance systems flagged his near-perfect trading success on markets with low odds, which were statistically anomalous," Bobby DeNault, legal … Read the full story at The Verge.

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Kalshi Suspended a California Politician and a YouTuber for Insider Trading
Wired
about 22 hours ago

Kalshi Suspended a California Politician and a YouTuber for Insider Trading

Leading prediction market Kalshi has revealed details of two recent insider trading cases it flagged to authorities, giving a rare look at how the platform enforces its policies.

Kalshi reveals insider trading case against editor for MrBeast
NPR News
about 22 hours ago

Kalshi reveals insider trading case against editor for MrBeast

With prediction markets booming, so have concerns about insider trading. Now, Kalshi has disclosed its first public actions against accounts suspected of trading on confidential information.

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‘Steady as she goes’ as Hong Kong bids farewell to deficits
South China Morning Post
1 day ago

‘Steady as she goes’ as Hong Kong bids farewell to deficits

Hong Kong raised its economic growth forecast to between 2.5 per cent and 3.5 per cent this year, as Financial Secretary Paul Chan delivered a budget speech focused on diversifying growth and boosting innovation. The city also will end deficits ahead of schedule, aided by economic growth and stronger stock trading, with an expected consolidated surplus of HK$2.9 billion for the financial year ending next month, Chan said on Wednesday. The government initially predicted expansion of 2 per cent to...

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Jane Street Sued for Insider Trading by Terraform Administrator
Bloomberg
2 days ago

Jane Street Sued for Insider Trading by Terraform Administrator

Jane Street Group LLC was sued for alleged insider trading by the administrator winding up the affairs of Terraform Labs, the firm whose $40 billion collapse in 2022 roiled the crypto markets and contributed to the collapse of FTX.

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JPMorgan anticipe une forte hausse des commissions de transactions et des revenus de trading au premier trimestre
zonebourse.com
3 days ago

JPMorgan anticipe une forte hausse des commissions de transactions et des revenus de trading au premier trimestre

Published: 20260224T004500Z

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JPMorgan anticipe une forte croissance des activités de fusions - acquisitions et de trading au premier trimestre
zonebourse.com
3 days ago

JPMorgan anticipe une forte croissance des activités de fusions - acquisitions et de trading au premier trimestre

Published: 20260224T003000Z

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UOB Profit Drops on Reduction in Bank’s Lending Income, Trading
Bloomberg
3 days ago

UOB Profit Drops on Reduction in Bank’s Lending Income, Trading

United Overseas Bank Ltd. reported fourth-quarter profit that narrowly missed analyst expectations as income from lending as well as trading and investments declined.

Trump’s Broad-Brush Options for Tariff Revamp
Bloomberg
3 days ago

Trump’s Broad-Brush Options for Tariff Revamp

President Donald Trump has already leaned on alternative legislation to try to rebuild his tariff wall, after the US Supreme Court ruled that he can’t use a 1977 emergency law to impose import taxes. The court said that Trump exceeded his authority by invoking the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to justify his sweeping “reciprocal” duties targeting America’s trading partners, as well as separate levies aimed at China, Canada and Mexico. The ruling invalidates a large portion of the tariffs that Trump has rolled out in his second term, but there are other ways that he can introduce import taxes. While the Constitution gives Congress the power to levy taxes and duties, lawmakers have delegated some authority to the executive branch through a number of statutes. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Policy Analyst Nathan Dean joins Bloomberg Businessweek Daily to discuss. He speaks with Carol Massar and Emily Graffeo. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Trade Uncertainty Rattles Global Stock Markets | Open Interest 2/23/2026
Bloomberg
3 days ago

Trade Uncertainty Rattles Global Stock Markets | Open Interest 2/23/2026

Get a jump start on the US trading day with Matt Miller and Dani Burger on "Bloomberg Open Interest." Trade uncertainty rattles markets again as President Trump moves forward with sweeping new global tariffs following a Supreme Court decision. We speak to Rep. Jason Smith, the Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee about what's next. Plus, the CEOs of Mazda North America and Freeport-McMoRan join Bloomberg Open Interest to talk about the impact on their businesses.  Novo plunges. Merck splits. Gilead makes a deal. We’re tracking a flurry of pharma headlines this morning. And Blue Owl’s selloff is deepening fears about liquidity risks inside the $1.8 trillion private credit market. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Trump Takes Anti-China Cursade to Chile Ahead of Latin America Summit in Miami
Bloomberg
3 days ago

Trump Takes Anti-China Cursade to Chile Ahead of Latin America Summit in Miami

Chile for decades finessed the geopolitical rivalry between China, its top trading partner, and the US, its leading foreign investor.

Trump tariff loss is win for Chinese exporters
South China Morning Post
3 days ago

Trump tariff loss is win for Chinese exporters

China called on the US to scrap tariffs after President Donald Trump imposed new levies to replace those struck down by the US Supreme Court. “China urges the United States to cancel its unilateral tariff measures on its trading partners,” the commerce ministry said in a statement on Monday. “There are no winners in a trade war and that protectionism leads nowhere.” New 15 per cent US levies are due to come in on Tuesday and run for 150 days after Trump used a different legal route to tax...

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Asia’s US trade deals in doubt after Trump’s Supreme Court tariff defeat
South China Morning Post
3 days ago

Asia’s US trade deals in doubt after Trump’s Supreme Court tariff defeat

A Supreme Court ruling that gutted the legal foundation for much of US President Donald Trump’s tariff regime has left Asian trading partners scratching their heads about the future of trade deals struck with Washington over the past 12 months. America’s apex court ruled on Friday that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) – which Trump had used to impose sweeping “reciprocal” tariffs since his “Liberation Day” proclamation last April – did not grant the president the power to...

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