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More banks catch on to Hong Kong’s housing rebound, upgrade market forecast
South China Morning Post
Published about 8 hours ago

More banks catch on to Hong Kong’s housing rebound, upgrade market forecast

South China Morning Post · Feb 23, 2026 · Collected from RSS

Summary

Global investment banks are rallying behind a more bullish view of Hong Kong’s housing market, with JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs joining Morgan Stanley in forecasting double-digit price gains after a stronger-than-expected rebound. Morgan Stanley was the first major bank to forecast a 10 per cent increase in home prices in January, which was widely seen as aggressive at the time. With fresh data bolstering signs of a recovery, other banks have also lifted their 2026 estimates. According to a...

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Morgan Stanley was the first major bank to forecast a 10 per cent increase in home prices in January, which was widely seen as aggressive at the time.With fresh data bolstering signs of a recovery, other banks have also lifted their 2026 estimates.According to a research paper published on Sunday, JPMorgan raised its 2026 home price growth forecast to between 10 per cent and 15 per cent, up from its previous 5 per cent to 7 per cent estimate, citing faster price acceleration and a shift in the property cycle.The bank cited a sustained stock market and strong demand from both mainland Chinese and local buyers among seven factors supporting its view that the sector has entered an expansion phase.“We believe a strong stock market will continue to push up Hong Kong home prices,” said Karl Chan, head of Hong Kong property research at JPMorgan.

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